All risk is connected. As in Dirk Gently’s world, everything in the risk world is now connected, but without the humor of Douglas Adams. The consequences of operational perils between and among employees—the sorts of things that might have triggered coverage with Employment Practice Liability insurance, is now a matter for derivative litigation and the SEC.
Southwest Airlines Reputation Crisis Day 35. Equity returns at 35 days normalized to the S&P500 returns are -6.2% (predicted -5.7%). It is under performing the Dow Jones US Airlines Index (DJUSAR) by 15.4%. The regression technology powering the equity impact model was derived from a study by Steel City Re, an ESG and reputation insurer.
Liquidity Issues at Blackstone. [There are now] questions about whether the people actually knew the risks, from higher fees than stock and bond funds to the illiquidity of the assets, and even the incentives advisers might get to push certain products. “Blackstone has to prevent a catastrophic shift in stakeholder expectations,” says Kossovsky.
Angry Reactions From Stakeholders. Southwest Airlines promoted five executives as the budget air carrier continues to reel from an operational meltdown that resulted in nearly 17,000 canceled flights over the chaotic holiday travel season. The company said … the moves would “strengthen our operational execution.” […] Nir Kossovsky, an expert on corporate risk and CEO of Steel City Re, told FOX Business that the angry reactions from apparent stakeholders is further evidence that Southwest is going through a “reputational crisis.”
“There is a standard pattern after a major reputational event. It begins with the event that is usually emotionally charged and leaves a lot of people disappointed, and thereafter every different stakeholder group will have their say. Customers will obviously be disappointed, employees will be disappointed, and shareholders will be disappointed,” said Nir Kossovsky, a reputation risk expert. “
Southwest Airlines canceled between Dec. 22 and Jan. 1 around 37% of its schedule. […] The holiday flight disruption is likely to have lasting consequences for Southwest’s reputation, Nir Kossovsky, CEO of reputation risk insurer Steel City Re, said. “In addition to the large swath of customers who are angry and disappointed and likely to act on those feelings in the future, reputational damage of this magnitude often triggers a pile-on of regulators, litigators, and activists,” he said. “It’s no surprise Southwest’s shares are now underperforming the airline index.”
The velocity of reputational risk is approaching the speed of a nuclear assault on a nation, said Nir Kossovsky, Steel City Re CEO. A “Military grade” response to sped up reputational crises requires cold war game theory strategy and preemption.
Parametric insurance ESG authentication. Parametric insurance, which has long been popular in disaster recovery, is gaining steam as a proxy for proving the effectiveness of ESG programs. Nir Kossovsky and Denise Williamee of insurer Steel City Re explore details of this novel ESG solution. Insurance-based authentication — a regulatory lynchpin — is a recent innovation made possible by parametric insurance solutions.
Shifting expectations: bank run. Douglas Diamond and Philip Dybvig won the Nobel Memorial Prize in economics this year for their work on (bank runs). “A bank run in our model,” they write, “is caused by a shift in expectations, which could depend on almost anything, consistent with the apparently irrational observed behavior of people running on banks.” “Almost anything” could include social media rumors, why not. […] “Every banker knows that if he has to prove that he is worthy of credit, however good may be his arguments, in fact his credit is gone.”
Climate-related Financial Risk As part of its work to better tackle climate-related financial risks, the CFTC is considering whether the offsets market is “susceptible to fraud and manipulation.” In their letter, the senators asked the CFTC to develop standards for offsets, investigate cases of potential fraud, and convene a working group to study the risks …